The Futures Desk

All the news that's fit to model.

Computational journalism: standalone, playable models of hard public questions, each on its own site. This is the desk that indexes them.

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The prototype's opening screen. Satellite imagery of the strait under the four clocks and the Brent timeline, the record on the left of today and the model on the right.
live · 2026-09-03

The Long Way Around

Six months into the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, what rerouted, what ran down, and what is gone. Four kinds of loss on four clocks, with the record on one side of today and your levers on the other.

energyfoodtradeconflict hormuz.exe.xyz →
The story's opening screen. The river's delta on a basemap, with the century of reservoir storage as a timeline along the bottom.
live · 2026-09-02

Who Drinks the River?

The Colorado's paper allocations exceed its water, and the shortfall has to land on someone. Set the river's flow, choose the allocation rule, and the model computes who gets what.

wateragriculturelaw colorado.exe.xyz →
live · 2026-09-03project

The Farmland Atlas

One person's map of where the ground still works. A weighted index of climate, water, land quality and hazards, projected for 2070 under SSP2-4.5, with overlays for people, access and land use. Click anywhere and read the score.

agricultureclimatewaterland farmlandatlas.com →
live · 2026-09-03project

Harvest2Market

NASA Harvest's open-access platform puts satellite crop conditions, the GEOGLAM Crop Monitor, trade relationships and food-security assessments side by side, so a blocked strait, a fertiliser shortfall and next year's rice harvest read as one chain instead of three headlines.

foodagriculturetradedata harvest2market.nasaharvest.org →
live · 2026-09-03reading

From birdsong to galaxies

A University of Queensland release on citizen science: reef surveys, wombat tracking, telescope images and health research done by thousands of volunteers, and what it would take to make that work count.

citizen sciencereading www.nationaltribune.com.au →
live · 2026-09-03reading

A life in service of the living Earth

A special issue of The Ecologist on Herbert Girardet, cultural ecologist and co-founder of the World Future Council, who spent decades arguing that economies built on escalating resource use cannot coexist with the planet's limits.

ecologyreading theecologist.org →
proposed · 2026-09-03

After the Soy Moratorium

A voluntary pact from 2006 held soy-driven deforestation in the Amazon near zero. It was abandoned in January 2026. A study in Science projects at least 1.4 million hectares of extra deforestation by 2036.

forestsclimateagriculture
proposed · 2026-09-03

The Boomer Exodus

By 2037 there will be more Americans over 75 than aged 55 to 64, a first in modern US history. Who buys the houses a generation sells, and where do prices go when the buyers are a smaller cohort?

housingdemography
proposed · 2026-09-03

England's Water

After nearly three months with barely any rain, authorities suspended or restricted water abstraction licences for 1,327 farms. Can a wet island run dry, and what does storage, leakage and abstraction law decide?

wateragriculture
proposed · 2026-09-03

IPCC AR6 — Global Warming Scenarios

Energy balance model driven by AR6 SSP CO₂ trajectories. Geographic temperature anomaly from the pre-industrial baseline under four emissions pathways, SSP1-2.6 through SSP5-8.5, 2024 to 2100.

climate
proposed · 2026-09-03

Africa / Middle East Warming — 2049

A scenario stub for accelerated surface warming in the Middle East and North Africa, grounded in Malik et al. 2024.

climateheat
proposed · 2026-09-03

Rio Grande

Named in the colorado plan as a candidate for the same engine. Nothing written.

water
proposed · 2026-09-03

The Last Quiet Places

The 2001 Roadless Rule covers over 58 million acres of national forest; the proposed rollback would open nearly 59 million. Roads are the irreversible variable in a landscape. What do the quiet places hold, and for whom?

landwaterwildlife
proposed · 2026-09-03

Tuvalu

A baseline folder exists in orbital-sim. Nothing further is written yet.

climate
proposed · 2026-09-03

The Lagoon at Ross Island

Four of the past five summers have brought toxic cyanobacteria blooms to the Willamette in Portland. Researchers say the cause is a man-made lagoon, 120 feet deep from a century of gravel mining, and that restoring the river's flow through it is the fix. What would it take, and who pays?

waterriverscities
proposed · 2026-09-03

World Events

Interactive globe showing georeferenced conflict events from GDELT, UCDP, and ACLED. A time slider steps through days; dots sized by severity.

conflict
proposed · 2026-05-26

Tenerife Futures

A playful retro exploration of an imagined design conference in 1976 in Tenerife, attended by famous and notable environmentalists, thinkers and designers.

design fictiontransport

aboutclaims trackermastheadstandardscontact & participaterssjson feed