Claims tracker
Real public claims, quoted verbatim, each tied to the piece that answers it or should. Answered means the model on the piece adjudicates it. Open means the desk has cited it and the piece has not yet. This is the desk's to-do list, in public.
- answered on the piece
“by the middle of July, the full extent of temporary buffers will have been exhausted, with an overall market adjustment of 7.1 mb/d ... crude prices could be $120 a barrel. Once markets expect the temporary buffers will be exhausted, the market price could rise to nearly $150 per barrel”
The Long Way Around ● live - answered on the piece
“Today I looked at $96 a barrel, people thought that was going to be $300 a barrel.”
The Long Way Around ● live - answered on the piece
“perhaps three million barrels a day of crude have moved today through the Strait of Hormuz”
The Long Way Around ● live - answered on the piece
“Fertilizers must be applied at specific moments in the crop cycle. If they do not arrive on time, yields are reduced, regardless of what happens later.”
The Long Way Around ● live - answered on the piece
“Every year we drain more than half of the Colorado River for cattle feed.”
Who Drinks the River? ● live - answered on the piece
“The value of the dairy and beef industries fed by Colorado-irrigated crops is totally negligible. We could just buy their water rights and retire them.”
Who Drinks the River? ● live - answered on the piece
“Once productive farmland is permanently dried up, getting that agricultural economy back is extraordinarily difficult.”
Who Drinks the River? ● live - open: should answer next
“The entire Western US water crisis could be fixed by ending alfalfa farming in the desert.”
- open: should answer next
“take the water that is currently stored in Lake Powell, send it downstream through the Grand Canyon, and instead store it in Lake Mead”
Zanna Stutts, Glen Canyon Institute, as quoted by Newsweek (Joe Edwards) via KUTV; headline "Lake Powell Should be Drained to Save Lake Mead, Scientists Say" · 2026-07-07 · source · Who Drinks the River? ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“This Is Not a Test explores how to build and rehabilitate institutions capable of sustaining healthy relationships with the planet, biosphere, and each other.”
This Is Not a Test ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“TimeLike is the first and only AI platform we know of that has been expressly designed to support cooperative model-based decision-making at scale.”
TimeLike Systems ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“someone created a site mapping which parts of the world will still be suitable for agriculture in 2100, farmland atlas. it scores over 5 million points, each calculated separately for different climate scenarios, up to 2100.”
The Farmland Atlas ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“A shipping strait seizing up on the other side of the world can shrink next year's rice harvest in Bangladesh, and until now no single tool let anyone watch that chain unfold.”
Harvest2Market ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“Bangladesh produces 7% of the world's rice based on recent five-year averages”
Harvest2Market ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“Infinite intelligence will not eliminate our need for natural resources, nor will it supplant them, because natural resources are those not produced by human intelligence.”
Natural General Intelligence ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“With the right support, citizen science has the potential to make science more open, collaborative and impactful.”
From birdsong to galaxies ● live - cited, not yet modelled
“There's this environmental catastrophe going on, and we really don't know what's causing it.”
The Vanishing Mussels ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“The U.S. has safeguards in place to detect, report, and prevent it from entering the food supply.”
The Screwworm Returns ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“The collapse of a landmark Amazon soy pact will drive at least 1.4 million hectares (3.5 million acres) of extra deforestation in Brazil over the next decade, releasing carbon emissions equal to Canada's annual output.”
After the Soy Moratorium ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“A major housing headwind is about to hit. And that's the Baby Boomer exodus from the U.S. Housing Market. In the next decade, the share of U.S. population above 75 will skyrocket.”
The Boomer Exodus ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“England is facing a water crisis that is no longer a distant threat. After nearly three months with barely any rain, farmers are watching crops collapse. River levels have fallen so low that authorities suspended or restricted water abstraction licences for 1,327 farms.”
England's Water ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“Research shows that every formal roadless area provides habitat for at least two wildlife species of conservation concern.”
The Last Quiet Places ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“Roadless areas protect watersheds that supply drinking water to 47 million Americans.”
The Last Quiet Places ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“The man-made lagoon's warm, stagnant, nutrient-rich water consistently causes the cyanobacteria blooms”
The Lagoon at Ross Island ○ proposed - cited, not yet modelled
“Four out of the past five years have seen significant blooms in the Willamette”
The Lagoon at Ross Island ○ proposed