our pieces: an essay, an open model, a playable page
Six months into the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, what rerouted, what ran down, and what is gone. Four kinds of loss on four clocks, with the record on one side of today and your levers on the other.
The Colorado's paper allocations exceed its water, and the shortfall has to land on someone. Set the river's flow, choose the allocation rule, and the model computes who gets what.
North America had about 300 freshwater mussel species; a tenth are extinct and a third of the rest are listed. Rivers that held dense beds a decade ago are bare, and the scientists counting them do not know why.
New World screwworm, a flesh-eating fly larva eradicated from the United States decades ago, is again a foreign animal disease threat to the cattle industry. A model of the sterile-fly barrier, the border, and the herd.
A voluntary pact from 2006 held soy-driven deforestation in the Amazon near zero. It was abandoned in January 2026. A study in Science projects at least 1.4 million hectares of extra deforestation by 2036.
By 2037 there will be more Americans over 75 than aged 55 to 64, a first in modern US history. Who buys the houses a generation sells, and where do prices go when the buyers are a smaller cohort?
After nearly three months with barely any rain, authorities suspended or restricted water abstraction licences for 1,327 farms. Can a wet island run dry, and what does storage, leakage and abstraction law decide?
Energy balance model driven by AR6 SSP CO₂ trajectories. Geographic temperature anomaly from the pre-industrial baseline under four emissions pathways, SSP1-2.6 through SSP5-8.5, 2024 to 2100.
A scenario stub for accelerated surface warming in the Middle East and North Africa, grounded in Malik et al. 2024.
Named in the colorado plan as a candidate for the same engine. Nothing written.
The 2001 Roadless Rule covers over 58 million acres of national forest; the proposed rollback would open nearly 59 million. Roads are the irreversible variable in a landscape. What do the quiet places hold, and for whom?
A baseline folder exists in orbital-sim. Nothing further is written yet.
Four of the past five summers have brought toxic cyanobacteria blooms to the Willamette in Portland. Researchers say the cause is a man-made lagoon, 120 feet deep from a century of gravel mining, and that restoring the river's flow through it is the fix. What would it take, and who pays?
Interactive globe showing georeferenced conflict events from GDELT, UCDP, and ACLED. A time slider steps through days; dots sized by severity.
A playful retro exploration of an imagined design conference in 1976 in Tenerife, attended by famous and notable environmentalists, thinkers and designers.